At the moment there has been 64 games in the NFL season. The underdogs are doing very well against the spread. According to the lines that I have picked and my math, underdogs are 36-25-3 ATS. This means that favorites are 25-36-3. Away underdogs are doing especially well. Road ‘dogs have covered 21 times and home favorites have only beaten the spread 14 times.
I picked the Thursday night game correctly for the third week in a row after last night’s win and cover by the Rams. Here are my week 5 picks with lines from Friday afternoon:
Falcons -3 over Redskins
Steelers -3.5 over Eagles
Colts +7 over Packers
Browns +8.5 over Giants
Bengals -3 over Dolphins
Ravens -6.5 over Chiefs
Panthers -3 over Seahawks
Bears -5 over Jaguars
Titans +6 over Vikings
Broncos +6.5 over Patriots
49ers -10 over Bills
Chargers +4 over Saints
Jets +9 over Texans
Three teams I am very confident in: Bengals, Ravens, Chargers
Three more teams I am confident in: Falcons, Bears, Titans
Straight up:
Week 5 ATS: 1-0
Season picks ATS: 38-23-3
Season most confident ATS: 13-6-2
Season picks straight: 37-27
natejacobson.com 
What’s up Nate,
I still follow your picks, especially the “confident” ones…You did great! I have a question consider the pick “Bears over the Jaguars” in week 5. I know that you are from Chicago…so do you pick the Bears base on their strength or you just like the Bears to win ?
I picked the Bears based on strength and the Jaguars getting off to a week start. I think the Bears will win by more than a touchdown.
Great Call on the Bears..I didn’t expect the Bears blow out the Jaguars….Keep it up buddy