NFL Picks: Week 5

At the moment there has been 64 games in the NFL season. The underdogs are doing very well against the spread. According to the lines that I have picked and my math, underdogs are 36-25-3 ATS. This means that favorites are 25-36-3. Away underdogs are doing especially well. Road ‘dogs have covered 21 times and home favorites have only beaten the spread 14 times.

I picked the Thursday night game correctly for the third week in a row after last night’s win and cover by the Rams. Here are my week 5 picks with lines from Friday afternoon:

Falcons -3 over Redskins

Steelers -3.5 over Eagles

Colts +7 over Packers

Browns +8.5 over Giants

Bengals -3 over Dolphins

Ravens -6.5 over Chiefs

Panthers -3 over Seahawks

Bears -5 over Jaguars

Titans +6 over Vikings

Broncos +6.5 over Patriots

49ers -10 over Bills

Chargers +4 over Saints

Jets +9 over Texans

Three teams I am very confident in: Bengals, Ravens, Chargers

Three more teams I am confident in: Falcons, Bears, Titans

Straight up: 

Week 5 ATS: 1-0

Season picks ATS: 38-23-3

Season most confident ATS: 13-6-2

Season picks straight: 37-27


3 thoughts on “NFL Picks: Week 5

  1. What’s up Nate,

    I still follow your picks, especially the “confident” ones…You did great! I have a question consider the pick “Bears over the Jaguars” in week 5. I know that you are from Chicago…so do you pick the Bears base on their strength or you just like the Bears to win ?

  2. Great Call on the Bears..I didn’t expect the Bears blow out the Jaguars….Keep it up buddy

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