Chargers -7.5 over Chiefs
Here is what I said about the game in the trends that I posted on Wednesday morning (At the time the Chargers were 8-point favorites):
Chiefs +8 @ Chargers
Key trends: Away underdogs are 4-1-1 on Wednesday or Thursday night this season. Eastern or central time zone teams going 2+ zones west are 5-8.
Other notes: The Chargers beat the Chiefs in week 4. The Chiefs are 0-2 against their division. The Chargers are 2-1 against their division.
This game is very difficult to pick because both teams have been bad. However, I have basically promised myself to not pick the Chiefs and their pathetic offense no matter what. Even though the Chargers are terrible, they did have a 24-point lead over Denver last time they were in primetime before their major collapse. I think the Chargers can jump out to a big advantage and hang on against Matt Cassel.
Season picks ATS: 63-51-4
Season most confident ATS: 23-18-2
Season picks straight: 73-45