Last week I ended up 10-4 and picked nine out of 10 of my three and two star picks correctly. Here are my Thanksgiving Day picks with a short writeup for each pick.

Packers +6.5 over Lions

I can see the Lions winning big here. They just lost two game outright as favorites and the Packers haven’t looked good without Aaron Rodgers. However, nothing is easy for the Lions and they don’t play well on Thanksgiving. Matt Flynn is an upgrade over Scott Tolizen if Flynn starts so this line seems a little inflated. I’m not confident but like the Packers in a one-star pick.

Raiders +9 over Cowboys Continue reading →

Got the Thursday night pick right with the Falcons cover. Here are the rest of my picks for the week:

Three-star

Chargers +4.5 over Chiefs

Cardinals -3 over Colts

Cowboys +3 over Giants

Redskins +6 over 49ers

Two-star

Jaguars +10 over Texans  Continue reading →

Falcons +9 over Saints

Yes, the Falcons are terrible. I think they are the second worst team in the NFL. But this is their biggest game of the season to restore some pride. They’re at home in a nationally televised game against a division rival. They have to be pumped up and prepared for this game.

The Saints aren’t great on the road as we saw in their loss at the Jets a few weeks ago. They are coming off a physical home win against the 49ers and playing this game on a short week doesn’t do them any favors.  Continue reading →

Went 10-3-1 overall last week. Here are all of the week 11 picks including the Thursday night game:

Three-star

Redskins +4.5 over Eagles

Bengals -6 over Browns

Saints -3 over 49ers

Packers +6 over Giants

Two-star

Falcons -1.5 over Buccaneers  Continue reading →

Week 10 picks: 

Three-star 

Steelers -3 over Bills

49ers -6 over Panthers

Chargers +7 over Broncos Continue reading →

Vikings +3 over Redskins

This game is overshadowed by two huge college games but I like the Vikings in a two-star pick at home. In the college games I like both underdogs, Oklahoma and Stanford, against the spread.

Season record

Three-star: 14-19

Two-star: 30-22-3

One-star: 21-21-2

Was looking like the Cincinnati-Miami game would end in a push but Miami cameback and won on a safety in overtime. I picked the Bengals as a home favorite. Here are the rest of my picks for Week 9:

Three-star picks

Titans -3 over Rams

Texans +2.5 over Colts

Two-star picks

Falcons +7.5 over Panthers

Redskins +1 over Chargers  Continue reading →