Buccaneers vs Falcons Preview

I mentioned in my Thursday night college football preview that I have struggled figuring out the games I want to pick this week. I picked a lot of games early last week and finished with a 4-1 record. There’s a few tricky lines this week and I want to wait until some lines move. I’ll likely make 3-5 picks but some picks might be posted as late as Saturday night.

I don’t have a feel for the Thursday night game. I liked Tampa Bay in the preseason and wasn’t a fan of Atlanta before the season. I’m still not sold on the Falcons but the Buccaneers cause for real concern and I have reevaluated my stance on Lovie Smith’s team. Tampa Bay lost to Derek Anderson and Austin Davis so I think Matt Ryan can cause even more trouble for the Tampa Bay defense. Offensively, Josh McCown has been below average and may have just been a product of a system for less than half a season in Chicago.

The argument for Tampa Bay is they are likely getting Doug Martin back, and maybe they will flourish in a more familiar underdog role away from home. I wouldn’t pick the Falcons giving a touchdown if I didn’t have too. For the sake of a contest pick I would lean towards the home team.

Pick: Pass (Contest: Falcons)

Auburn vs Kansas State Preview

I’ll start off by saying that I have had trouble this week researching college games to pick. I have tried to post picks as early as possible the last three weeks but there isn’t anything I love right now. I hope to post a few picks later in the week but I want to be very selective.

This is one game I was tempted to pick. Auburn makes a rare trip to Big 12 country to play Kansas State on a Thursday night. I would lean to the home team here who are a +9.5 underdog. I was high on Kansas State at the beginning of the season and didn’t expect Auburn to have another magical year. Bill Snyder is one of the best coaches in the country but so is Gus Malzahn and his offensive system that can seem unstoppable.

The Tigers have covered 12 straight games dating back to Week 3 of 2012. I’m going to pass picking against a team that is on that type of streak. I would pick Kansas State as a pool play, and also predict a high scoring game in Manhattan.