NFL Contest Picks: Week 3

Tier 1

Ravens -5.5 vs Broncos

49ers +6.5 vs Chiefs

Tier 2

Redskins +2.5 vs Packers

Saints +3 vs Falcons

Chargers +7 vs Rams

Tier 3

Cardinals +6 vs Bears

Lions +7 vs Patriots 

Tier 4

Eagles -6.5 vs Colts

Texans -6.5 vs Giants

Tier 5

Bills +16.5 vs Vikings

Dolphins -3 vs Raiders

Bengals +3 vs Panthers

Titans +9.5 vs Jaguars 

Seahawks -2 vs Cowboys 

Steelers -1 vs Buccaneers 

NFL Picks: Week 3 Power Ratings and Cheat Sheet

Here are the two charts for this week:

Team After Week 1 After Week 2
Rams 10.5 11.5
Vikings 10 10
Patriots 10.5 9.5
Eagles 9 9.5
Falcons 9 9
Steelers 9 8
Saints 8.5 7.5
Chargers 7.5 7.5
Jaguars 6.5 7.5
Packers 8 7
Chiefs 5 7
Texans 7 6.5
Ravens 6 5.5
49ers 5.5 5.5
Cowboys 5 5.5
Panthers 5.5 5
Titans 3.5 4
Dolphins 3.5 4
Broncos 4 3.5
Colts 3 3.5
Bengals 2.5 3.5
Buccaneers 2.5 3.5
Redskins 3.5 3
Lions 3 3
Raiders 2.5 3
Bears 2.5 3
Seahawks 3.5 2.5
Jets 2.5 2
Browns 1.5 2
Giants 2 1.5
Cardinals 0.5 -0.5
Bills -3 -3.5

 

Game Look ahead line Tuesday line My line
Jets at Browns Browns -1.5 Browns -3 Browns -2.5
Colts at Eagles Eagles -7 Eagles -6 Eagles -9 (with Wentz)
Bengals at Panthers Panthers -4.5 Panthers -3 Panthers -4
Titans at Jaguars No line No line (Mariota injury) Jaguars -5.5 (with Mariota)
Saints at Falcons Falcons -3 Falcons -3 Falcons -4.5
Broncos at Ravens Ravens -5.5 Ravens -5 Ravens -4.5
Giants at Texans Texans -4.5 Texans -6 Texans -7.5
Raiders at Dolphins Dolphins -4 Dolphins -3 Dolphins -3
Packers at Redskins No line Packers -3 Packers -2
Bills at Vikings Vikings -15 Vikings -17 Vikings -17
49ers at Chiefs Chiefs -4 Chiefs -6.5 Chiefs -4.5
Chargers at Rams Rams -5.5 Rams -7 Rams -6.5
Bears at Cardinals Bears -2.5 Bears -6 Bears -1
Cowboys at Seahawks Seahawks -3 Seahawks -1 Pick
Patriots at Lions Patriots -6.5 Patriots -6.5 Patriots -4
Steelers at Buccaneers Steelers -4 Steelers -1 Steelers -2.5

NFL Contest Picks: Week 2

 

Tier 1

Colts +6 vs Redskins 

Steelers -4 vs Chiefs

Tier 2

Dolphins +2.5 vs Jets

Patriots -1 vs Jaguars 

Tier 3

Falcons -6 vs Panthers 

Packers +7 vs Vikings 

Lions +6 vs 49ers

Cowboys -3 vs Giants 

Tier 4

Buccaneers +3.5 vs Eagles 

Saints -8.5 vs Browns 

Broncos -6 vs Raiders 

Tier 5

Texans pick vs Titans 

Chargers -7 vs Bills 

Cardinals +12.5 vs Rams 

Seahawks +3.5 vs Bears 

 

NFL Picks: Week 2 Power Ratings and Cheat Sheet

Here are the two charts for this week:

Team August 30 Power Rating After Week 1
Patriots 10.5 10.5
Rams 10 10.5
Vikings 10 10
Steelers 9.5 9
Eagles 9 9
Falcons 9 9
Saints 9.5 8.5
Packers 8.5 8
Chargers 8 7.5
Texans 7 7
Jaguars 6.5 6.5
Ravens 5.5 6
49ers 5.5 5.5
Panthers 5.5 5.5
Cowboys 6 5
Chiefs 4.5 5
Broncos 3.5 4
Seahawks 4 3.5
Titans 3.5 3.5
Dolphins 3.5 3.5
Redskins 2 3.5
Colts 4 3
Lions 4 3
Raiders 3 2.5
Bears 2 2.5
Bengals 1.5 2.5
Buccaneers 1 2.5
Jets 0.5 2.5
Giants 2 2
Browns 1.5 1.5
Cardinals 1 0.5
Bills 0 -3
Game Look ahead line Tuesday line My line
Ravens at Bengals Pick Ravens -1 Ravens -1.5
Panthers at Falcons Falcons -4 Falcons -5.5 Falcons -6.5
Chargers at Bills Chargers -1 Chargers -7 Chargers -8
Vikings at Packers Packers -2.5 No line (Rodgers injury) Packers -1.5 (with Rodgers)
Texans at Titans Pick No line (Mariota injury) Texans -1.5 (with Mariota)
Browns at Saints Saints -10 Saints -8.5 Saints -10.5
Dolphins at Jets Jets -1 Jets -3 Jets -1
Chiefs at Steelers Steelers -7 Steelers -5 Steelers -6.5
Eagels at Buccaneers Eagles -3 Eagles -3 Eagles -4.5
Colts at Redskins Redskins -3 Redskins -5.5 Redskins -2.5
Cardinals at Rams Rams -10.5 Rams -12.5 Rams -12.5
Lions at 49ers 49ers -3.5 49ers -5.5 49ers -4.5
Raiders at Broncos Broncos -1 Broncos -5.5 Broncos -4.5
Patriots at Jaguars Patriots -2.5 Patriots -2 Patriots -2
Giants at Cowboys Cowboys -6 Cowboys -3 Cowboys -5
Seahawks at Bears Pick Bears -3 Bears -1

 

NFL Contest Picks: Week 1

This season I’ve decided to share my NFL picks if I was forced to pick every game against the spread. With the popularity of NFL betting increasing, there will be more contests and pools where you pick either a select number of games or all the games.

I will group my picks into five tiers based on my confidence in each side. I’m in several contests where I have to pick five, six or seven games each week. So this exercise helps me narrow down which games I should select.

I will use the Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest lines that are released on Wednesday and are fixed at that number. I rarely get involved in the Thursday night game in my contests so I’m going to wait until Friday to release the picks. But if I have a strong opinion on the Thursday game, I’ll write about it early in the week or tweet out my thoughts.

This article will be short for Week 1 because I’ve already written about teams I like early, teams I’m looking to fade and posted my early power ratings

Tier 1

Dolphins +1.5 vs Titans 

Giants +3 vs Jaguars – Giants +3 is good enough to bet but would’ve preferred +3.5 when that was available before preseason games began. 

Tier 2

Vikings -6.5 vs 49ers

Cowboys +3 vs Panthers – Still strongly considering a bet on the Cowboys if I can get the full field goal.

Tier 3

Chargers -3.5 vs Chiefs

Broncos -3 vs Seahawks 

Bears +7.5 vs Packers 

Tier 4

Browns +3.5 vs Steelers

Ravens -7.5 vs Bills 

Buccaneers +9.5 vs Saints

Texans +6.5 vs Patriots 

Rams -4 vs Raiders

Tier 5

Bengals +3 vs Colts – This goes against what I’ve written about this summer because I like the Colts but enough Week 1 preview podcasts this week have talked me into picking the Bengals with low confidence.

Cardinals -1 vs Redskins

Jets +6.5 vs Lions