It’s a really difficult week to find games to bet on in the NFL. There’s always a handful of those weeks throughout the season. No harm is scaling back if you bet individual games but still need to find sides for a picking in a contest. Here are my picks:
Bengals +5 vs Falcons – Like the Bengals a lot at +5 but wouldn’t bet it at the current number of -3.5. The Falcons suffered another key injury on defense in an overtime loss last week.
Broncos +5 vs Chiefs – I’ve gone against the Chiefs all season, including heavy the last two weeks. I think this is the spot where the Broncos slow down Mahomes in Denver on primetime.
Lions +3 vs Cowboys – Ended up with the Lions because of the injury to Sean Lee. Don’t love the situation for Detroit off a huge win against New England but think their offense can have some success here.
Raiders -2.5 vs Browns – Going to look to bet the Raiders first half in this game. Oakland has had the lead at halftime in all three games but are 0-3.
Giants +3.5 vs Saints – The Saints have some real issues on defense right now that the Giants should be able to capitalize on at home.
49ers +10 vs Chargers – I could totally be wrong here but I can see a strong effort from San Francisco in the game following the season-ending injury to Jimmy Garoppolo.
This season I’ve decided to share my NFL picks if I was forced to pick every game against the spread. With the popularity of NFL betting increasing, there will be more contests and pools where you pick either a select number of games or all the games.
I will group my picks into five tiers based on my confidence in each side. I’m in several contests where I have to pick five, six or seven games each week. So this exercise helps me narrow down which games I should select.
I will use the Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest lines that are released on Wednesday and are fixed at that number. I rarely get involved in the Thursday night game in my contests so I’m going to wait until Friday to release the picks. But if I have a strong opinion on the Thursday game, I’ll write about it early in the week or tweet out my thoughts.
Giants +3 vs Jaguars – Giants +3 is good enough to bet but would’ve preferred +3.5 when that was available before preseason games began.
Vikings -6.5 vs 49ers
Cowboys +3 vs Panthers – Still strongly considering a bet on the Cowboys if I can get the full field goal.
Chargers -3.5 vs Chiefs
Broncos -3 vs Seahawks
Bears +7.5 vs Packers
Browns +3.5 vs Steelers
Ravens -7.5 vs Bills
Buccaneers +9.5 vs Saints
Texans +6.5 vs Patriots
Rams -4 vs Raiders
Bengals +3 vs Colts – This goes against what I’ve written about this summer because I like the Colts but enough Week 1 preview podcasts this week have talked me into picking the Bengals with low confidence.