Andy and Nate look back at the NFL season, and discuss teams that have surprised and disappointed. They look ahead to the final nine weeks and pick teams to buy and sell going forward. They begin the show by discussing Todd Gurley’s smart move and bad beats.
Here are the two charts for this week:
| Team | After Week 7 | After Week 8 |
| Rams (2.5) | 12.5 | 12 |
| Patriots (3.5) | 10 | 10 |
| Saints (3.5) | 9 | 9.5 |
| Chiefs (3) | 9 | 9 |
| Vikings (3) | 9 | 8 |
| Eagles (3) | 7.5 | 8 |
| Steelers (2.5) | 7.5 | 8 |
| Chargers (1.5) | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Ravens (3) | 7.5 | 7 |
| Packers (3.5) | 6 | 7 |
| Panthers (2.5) | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Texans (2.5) | 5.5 | 6 |
| Bears (2.5) | 5 | 5 |
| Falcons (2.5) | 5 | 5 |
| Jaguars (2) | 5 | 4.5 |
| Cowboys (2) | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Seahawks (3) | 4 | 4.5 |
| Lions (2.5) | 5 | 4 |
| Bengals (2) | 4 | 4 |
| Redskins (2) | 3.5 | 4 |
| Titans (2) | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Broncos (2.5) | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Colts (2.5) | 2.5 | 3 |
| Buccaneers (2) | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Browns (2.5) | 2 | 1 |
| Dolphins (2) | 1 | 1 |
| Jets (2) | 1.5 | 0 |
| Giants (2) | 1 | 0 |
| 49ers (1.5) | 1 | 0 |
| Raiders (1.5) | -0.5 | -1 |
| Cardinals (2) | -1 | -1 |
| Bills (2) | -3 | -4 |
| Game | Look ahead line | Tuesday line | My line |
| Raiders at 49ers | 49ers -2.5 | 49ers -3 | 49ers -2.5 |
| Lions at Vikings | Vikings -6.5 | Vikings -5 | Vikings -7 |
| Chiefs at Browns | Chiefs -7 | Chiefs -9 | Chiefs -5.5 |
| Steelers at Ravens | Ravens -3 | Ravens -3 | Ravens -2 |
| Buccaneers at Panthers | Panthers -4.5 | Panthers -6.5 | Panthers -6.5 |
| Jets at Dolphins | No line | Dolphins -3 | Dolphins -3 |
| Falcons at Redskins | Redskins -1 | Redskins -1.5 | Redskins -1 |
| Bears at Bills | No line | Bears -10 | Bears -7 |
| Texans at Broncos | Texans -1.5 | Broncos -1 | Pick ’em |
| Chargers at Seahawks | Pick ’em | Seahawks -1.5 | Pick ’em |
| Rams at Saints | Pick ’em | Saints -1.5 | Saints -1 |
| Packers at Patriots | Patriots -7.5 | Patriots -5.5 | Patriots -6.5 |
| Titans at Cowboys | Cowboys -4 | Cowboys -6.5 | Cowboys -3 |
I gave out three picks early in the week and those remain my three favorites picks. My reasoning for the picks are pretty much the same so you can listen to the audio in that post. Time codes: Ravens (12:09), Vikings (18:41), Buccaneers (25:30)
Tier 1
Ravens -2 vs Panthers
Tier 2
Buccaneers +4.5 vs Bengals
Vikings PK vs Saints
Tier 3
49ers -1 vs Cardinals
Tier 4
Jaguars +3 vs Eagles
Seahawks +3 vs Lions
Jets +7 vs Bears
Tier 5
Broncos +10 vs Chiefs
Steelers -8 vs Browns
Giants PK vs Redskins
Colts -3 vs Raiders
Rams -9.5 vs Packers
Bills +13.5 vs Patriots
| Team | After Week 6 | After Week 7 |
| Rams (2.5) | 12 | 12.5 |
| Patriots (3.5) | 9.5 | 10 |
| Saints (3.5) | 9 | 9 |
| Vikings (3) | 8.5 | 9 |
| Chiefs (3) | 8 | 9 |
| Eagles (3) | 8 | 7.5 |
| Steelers (2.5) | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Chargers (1.5) | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Ravens (3) | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Packers (3.5) | 6 | 6 |
| Texans (2.5) | 5 | 5.5 |
| Panthers (2.5) | 5 | 5.5 |
| Jaguars (2) | 6.5 | 5 |
| Bears (2.5) | 5.5 | 5 |
| Falcons (2.5) | 5 | 5 |
| Lions (2.5) | 4.5 | 5 |
| Cowboys (2) | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Bengals (2) | 4.5 | 4 |
| Seahawks (3) | 4 | 4 |
| Redskins (2) | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Titans (2) | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Broncos (2.5) | 3 | 3.5 |
| Colts (2.5) | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Buccaneers (2) | 2 | 2.5 |
| Browns (2.5) | 2 | 2 |
| Jets (2) | 2 | 1.5 |
| Dolphins (2) | 3 | 1 |
| Giants (2) | 1.5 | 1 |
| 49ers (1.5) | 1.5 | 1 |
| Raiders (1.5) | 1 | -0.5 |
| Cardinals (2) | 0 | -1 |
| Bills (2) | -2 | -3 |
| Game | Look ahead line | Tuesday line | My line |
| Dolphins at Texans | No line | Texans -7.5 | Texans -7 |
| Eagles vs Jaguars in London | Pick ’em | Eagles -3 | Eagles -2.5 |
| Browns at Steelers | Steelers -7.5 | Steelers -8 | Steelers -8 |
| Broncos at Chiefs | Chiefs -9.5 | Chiefs -10 | Chiefs -8.5 |
| Jets at Bears | Bears -5 | Bears -7 | Bears -6 |
| Redskins at Giants | Giants -1 | Redskins -1 | Redskins -0.5 |
| Seahawks at Lions | Lions -2.5 | Lions -3 | Lions -3.5 |
| Buccaneers at Bengals | Bengals -5 | Bengals -4.5 | Bengals -3.5 |
| Ravens at Panthers | Pick ’em | Ravens -2 | Panthers -0.5 |
| Colts at Raiders | Raiders -1.5 | Colts -3 | Colts -1.5 |
| 49ers at Cardinals | Cardinals -2 | Pick ’em | Pick ’em |
| Packers at Rams | Rams -8.5 | Rams -9.5 | Rams -9 |
| Saints at Vikings | Vikings -3 | Pick ’em | Vikings -3 |
| Patriots at Bills | Patriots -10.5 | Patriots -14 | Patriots -11 |
Tier 1
Bears +3 vs Patriots
Tier 2
Eagles -4.5 vs Panthers
Vikings -3 vs Jets
Tier 3
Buccaneers -3 vs Browns
Giants +5.5 vs Falcons
Tier 4
Texans +5 vs Jaguars
Dolphins +2.5 vs Lions
Tier 5
Titans +6.5 vs Chargers
Bills +7.5 vs Colts
Saints +2.5 vs Ravens
Redskins -2 vs Cowboys
Rams -9.5 vs 49ers
Bengals +6 vs Chiefs
| Team | After Week 5 | After Week 6 |
| Rams (2.5) | 12 | 12 |
| Patriots (3.5) | 9.5 | 9.5 |
| Saints (3.5) | 9 | 9 |
| Vikings (3.5) | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| Eagles (3) | 8 | 8 |
| Chiefs (3) | 8 | 8 |
| Steelers (2.5) | 7 | 7.5 |
| Chargers (1.5) | 7 | 7.5 |
| Ravens (2.5) | 6.5 | 7.5 |
| Jaguars (2) | 7 | 6.5 |
| Packers (3.5) | 6.5 | 6 |
| Bears (2) | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Texans (2.5) | 6 | 5 |
| Falcons (3) | 5.5 | 5 |
| Panthers (2.5) | 5 | 5 |
| Bengals (2) | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Lions (2.5) | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Cowboys (2) | 4 | 4.5 |
| Seahawks (3) | 3.5 | 4 |
| Redskins (2) | 3 | 3.5 |
| Titans (2) | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Broncos (3) | 3 | 3 |
| Dolphins (2) | 3 | 3 |
| Colts (2.5) | 3 | 2.5 |
| Browns (2.5) | 2.5 | 2 |
| Buccaneers (2) | 2 | 2 |
| Jets (2) | 1.5 | 2 |
| Giants (2) | 2 | 1.5 |
| 49ers (2) | 1 | 1.5 |
| Raiders (2) | 2.5 | 1 |
| Cardinals (2.5) | 0 | 0 |
| Bills (2.5) | -1.5 | -2 |
| Game | Look ahead line | Tuesday line | My line |
| Broncos at Cardinals | Broncos -2.5 | Broncos -2 | Broncos -0.5 |
| Titans vs Chargers in London | Chargers -3 | Chargers -6.5 | Chargers -4 |
| Patriots at Bears | Patriots -3 | Patriots -3 | Patriots -2 |
| Browns at Buccaneers | Buccaneers -1.5 | Buccaneers -3 | Buccaneers -2 |
| Lions at Dolphins | Lions -2 | No line | Dolphins -0.5 |
| Panthers at Eagles | Eagles -3 | Eagles -4.5 | Eagles -6 |
| Bills at Colts | Colts -5.5 | Colts -7.5 | Colts -6.5 |
| Bengals at Chiefs | Chiefs -6.5 | Chiefs -6 | Chiefs -6.5 |
| Vikings at Jets | Vikings -4 | Vikings -3.5 | Vikings -4.5 |
| Texans at Jaguars | No line | Jaguars -5 | Jaguars -3.5 |
| Saints at Ravens | Pick | Ravens -2.5 | Ravens -1 |
| Cowboys at Redskins | Redskins -3 | Redskins -1.5 | Redskins -1 |
| Rams at 49ers | Rams -12.5 | Rams -9.5 | Rams -8.5 |
| Giants at Falcons | Falcons -3.5 | Falcons -5.5 | Falcons -6.5 |
Here are the two charts for this week:
| Team | After Week 4 | After Week 5 |
| Rams (2.5) | 12.5 | 12 |
| Patriots (3.5) | 9.5 | 9.5 |
| Saints (3.5) | 8 | 9 |
| Vikings (3.5) | 8 | 8.5 |
| Eagles (3) | 8.5 | 8 |
| Chiefs (3) | 7.5 | 8 |
| Jaguars (2) | 7.5 | 7 |
| Steelers (2.5) | 7 | 7 |
| Chargers (1.5) | 6.5 | 7 |
| Packers (3.5) | 7 | 6.5 |
| Ravens (2.5) | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| Texans (2.5) | 6 | 6 |
| Falcons (3) | 7 | 5.5 |
| Bears (2) | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Panthers (2.5) | 5.5 | 5 |
| Titans (2) | 5 | 4.5 |
| Bengals (2) | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Lions (2.5) | 4 | 4.5 |
| Cowboys (2) | 4 | 4 |
| Seahawks (3) | 3 | 3.5 |
| Broncos (3) | 3.5 | 3 |
| Colts (2.5) | 3.5 | 3 |
| Redskins (2) | 3.5 | 3 |
| Dolphins (2) | 3 | 3 |
| Raiders (2) | 3 | 2.5 |
| Browns (2.5) | 2 | 2.5 |
| Buccaneers (2) | 2 | 2 |
| Giants (2) | 1.5 | 2 |
| Jets (2) | 1 | 1.5 |
| 49ers (2) | 2 | 1 |
| Cardinals (2.5) | -1 | 0 |
| Bills (2.5) | -2 | -1.5 |
| Game | Look ahead line | Tuesday line | My line |
| Eagles at Giants | Eagles -2.5 | Eagles -3 | Eagles -4 |
| Cardinals at Vikings | Vikings -11.5 | Vikings -10.5 | Vikings -12 |
| Chargers at Browns | Chargers -1.5 | Chargers -1 | Chargers -2 |
| Bears at Dolphins | Dolphins -1 | Bears -3 | Bears -0.5 |
| Panthers at Redskins | Redskins -1.5 | Redskins -1 | Pick ’em |
| Colts at Jets | Jets -1 | Jets -2.5 | Jets -0.5 |
| Steelers at Bengals | Bengals -3 | Bengals -2.5 | Steelers -0.5 |
| Buccaneers at Falcons | Falcons -6.5 | Falcons -3.5 | Falcons -6.5 |
| Seahawks vs Raiders | Pick ’em | Seahawks -3 | Seahawks -1 |
| Bills at Texans | Texans -8 | Texans -8.5 | Texans -10 |
| Rams at Broncos | Rams -6 | Rams -7 | Rams -6 |
| Jaguars at Cowboys | Jaguars -2.5 | Jaguars -3 | Jaguars -1 |
| Ravens at Titans | Ravens -1 | Ravens -3 | Pick ’em |
| Chiefs at Patriots | Patriots -3 | Patriots -3.5 | Patriots -5 |
| 49ers at Packers | Packers -8.5 | Packers -9.5 | Packers -9 |
I will post my NFL contest pick for Week 6 on Twitter this week.
Tier 1
Dolphins +6.5 vs Bengals
Tier 2
Jets -1 vs Broncos
Giants +7 vs Panthers
Vikings +3 vs Eagles
Texans -3 vs Cowboys
Tier 3
Lions +1 vs Packers
Redskins +6.5 vs Saints
Tier 4
Bills +3.5 vs Titans
Browns +3 vs Ravens
Tier 5
Falcons +3 vs Steelers
Jaguars +3 vs Chiefs
Chargers -4.5 vs Raiders
Cardinals +4 vs 49ers
Seahawks +7 vs Rams
Here are the two charts for this week:
| Team | After Week 3 | After Week 4 |
| Rams (2.5) | 12 | 12.5 |
| Patriots (3.5) | 8.5 | 9.5 |
| Eagles (3) | 9 | 8.5 |
| Vikings (3.5) | 8.5 | 8 |
| Saints (3.5) | 8 | 8 |
| Chiefs (3) | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Jaguars (2) | 6.5 | 7.5 |
| Falcons (3) | 8 | 7 |
| Steelers (2.5) | 8 | 7 |
| Packers (3.5) | 6.5 | 7 |
| Chargers (1.5) | 7 | 6.5 |
| Ravens (2.5) | 6 | 6.5 |
| Texans (2.5) | 5.5 | 6 |
| Panthers (2.5) | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Bears (2) | 4 | 5.5 |
| Titans (2) | 4 | 5 |
| Bengals (2) | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| Cowboys (2) | 4 | 4 |
| Lions (2.5) | 4 | 4 |
| Broncos (3) | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Colts (2.5) | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Redskins (2) | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Dolphins (2) | 4 | 3 |
| Raiders (2) | 3 | 3 |
| Seahawks (3) | 3 | 3 |
| Buccaneers (2) | 3.5 | 2 |
| Browns (2.5) | 2 | 2 |
| 49ers (2) | 1.5 | 2 |
| Giants (2) | 2 | 1.5 |
| Jets (2) | 2 | 1 |
| Cardinals (2.5) | -1 | -1 |
| Bills (2.5) | -1.5 | -2 |
| Game | Look ahead line | Tuesday line | My line |
| Colts at Patriots | Patriots -8 | Patriots -10 | Patriots -9.5 |
| Ravens at Browns | Ravens -1 | Ravens -3 | Ravens -2 |
| Jaguars at Chiefs | Chiefs -3.5 | Chiefs -3 | Chiefs -3 |
| Titans at Bills | Titans -3 | Titans -3.5 | Titans -4.5 |
| Giants at Panthers | Panthers -6 | Panthers -7 | Panthers -6.5 |
| Broncos at Jets | Jets -2.5 | Jets -1 | Broncos -0.5 |
| Falcons at Steelers | Steelers -3 | Steelers -3 | Steelers -2.5 |
| Packers at Lions | Pick em | Packers -1.5 | Packers -0.5 |
| Dolphins at Bengals | Bengals -4 | Bengals -6.5 | Bengals -3.5 |
| Raiders at Chargers | Chargers -6.5 | Chargers -5.5 | Chargers -5 |
| Cardinals at 49ers | 49ers -2.5 | 49ers -4.5 | 49ers -5 |
| Vikings at Eagles | Eagles -3 | Eagles -3 | Eagles -3.5 |
| Rams at Seahawks | Rams -7 | Rams -7 | Rams -6.5 |
| Cowboys at Texans | Texans -4.5 | Texans -3 | Texans -4.5 |
| Redskins at Saints | Saints -7 | Saints -6.5 | Saints -8 |
natejacobson.com 