Camellia Bowl Pick

South Alabama is staying in their state on Saturday night when they play Bowling Green. South Alabama is making their first bowl appearance in program history so they will be very motivated and have a home field advantage. Bowling Green ended the season poorly, and it was capped off by being routed in the MAC Championship by Northern Illinois.

The MAC didn’t win or cover a bowl game last year and I will look for opportunities this year to fade teams from that conference.

Pick: South Alabama (-2.5) over Bowling Green


College Football: September 6 Picks

Thursday and Friday picks

I have three picks this week all on Saturday. The explanation for each game is hyperlinked

Missouri (-4) over Toledo

Arkansas State (+17.5) over Tennessee

Northwestern (-7.5) over Northern Illinois

Pool Plays

USC (+3) over Stanford

Florida (-37.5) over Central Michigan

Continue reading

Northern Illinois vs Northwestern Pick

Two of the best programs in the state of Illinois (not saying much) meet on Saturday in Evanston. Northern Illinois opened the post-Jordan Lynch era off with an easy with against FCS Presbyterian. Northwestern was upset at home by California.

With the line at Northwestern -7.5 this appears to be an overreaction to what happened last week. The Wildcats were a double-digit favorite against California. There is no way that Northern Illinois is a better team than California this season. Pat Fitzgerald will make sure his team has a maximum effort this week. The Wildcats should be a 10-point favorite or more in this game.

Pick: Northwestern (-7.5) over Northern Illinois

Missouri vs Toledo Pick

Missouri travels to Toledo as a four-point favorite and this line seems too low. Both teams are coming off victories over FCS schools. Toledo’s victory was more convincing but it’s hard to react to the Week 1 results. Rocket quarterback Phillip Ely had an impressive first collegiate start throwing four touchdowns. The Tigers will need to get him in check.

Last season, Missouri was just as good at home as on the road. They scored over 41 points in four true road games. Quarterback Maty Mauk only started one of those games but Mauk has a higher ceiling than previous quarterback James Franklin. Mauk will need to avoid mistakes this game, and rely on running backs Russell Hansbrough and Marcus Murphy to keep the offense balanced. I think the Tigers will do that and they will win by over a touchdown.

Pick: Missouri (-4) over Toledo