College Football: September 6 Picks

Thursday and Friday picks

I have three picks this week all on Saturday. The explanation for each game is hyperlinked

Missouri (-4) over Toledo

Arkansas State (+17.5) over Tennessee

Northwestern (-7.5) over Northern Illinois

Pool Plays

USC (+3) over Stanford

Florida (-37.5) over Central Michigan

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Missouri vs Toledo Pick

Missouri travels to Toledo as a four-point favorite and this line seems too low. Both teams are coming off victories over FCS schools. Toledo’s victory was more convincing but it’s hard to react to the Week 1 results. Rocket quarterback Phillip Ely had an impressive first collegiate start throwing four touchdowns. The Tigers will need to get him in check.

Last season, Missouri was just as good at home as on the road. They scored over 41 points in four true road games. Quarterback Maty Mauk only started one of those games but Mauk has a higher ceiling than previous quarterback James Franklin. Mauk will need to avoid mistakes this game, and rely on running backs Russell Hansbrough and Marcus Murphy to keep the offense balanced. I think the Tigers will do that and they will win by over a touchdown.

Pick: Missouri (-4) over Toledo