Here is an explanation of how I make my own spread using the power ratings.
I wrote about five games during Week 4, including a pick in the Thursday night contest.
Here are the two charts for this week:
| Team | After Week 2 | After Week 3 |
| Patriots | 15.5 | 13 |
| Falcons | 11 | 11.5 |
| Chiefs | 11 | 11.5 |
| Steelers | 12 | 11 |
| Packers | 11 | 10.5 |
| Cowboys | 10.5 | 10.5 |
| Vikings | 10 | 10 |
| Seahawks | 11 | 9.5 |
| Titans | 9 | 9.5 |
| Eagles | 9.5 | 9 |
| Raiders | 9.5 | 8.5 |
| Redskins | 7.5 | 8.5 |
| Ravens | 9.5 | 8 |
| Broncos | 8 | 8 |
| Panthers | 9.5 | 7.5 |
| Lions | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| Bengals | 7 | 7.5 |
| Giants | 7 | 7.5 |
| Saints | 7 | 7.5 |
| Buccaneers | 8 | 7 |
| Chargers | 7 | 6.5 |
| Texans | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Jaguars | 5 | 6 |
| Dolphins | 6.5 | 5.5 |
| Cardinals | 6 | 5.5 |
| Bills | 5 | 5.5 |
| Rams | 4 | 5 |
| Bears | 4 | 4.5 |
| 49ers | 2 | 2.5 |
| Colts | 0.5 | 1 |
| Browns | 1 | 0 |
| Jets | -1 | 0 |
| Game | Lookahead Line | Wednesday Line | My Line |
| Bears at Packers | Packers -11.5 | Packers -7 | Packers -9.5 |
| Saints vs Dolphins (London) | Dolphins -1 | Saints -3 | Saints -2 |
| Panthers at Patriots | Patriots -9 | Patriots -9 | Patriots -9 |
| Rams at Cowboys | Cowboys -8.5 | Cowboys -6 | Cowboys -7.5 |
| Lions at Vikings | No Line | No Line | Vikings -5.5 |
| Titans at Texans | Titans -2.5 | Titans -2 | Titans -0.5 |
| Jaguars at Jets | Jaguars -4.5 | Jaguars -3 | Jaguars -4.5 |
| Bengals at Browns | Bengals -1.5 | Bengals -3 | Bengals -5 |
| Steelers at Ravens | Pick | Steelers -3 | Steelers -0.5 |
| Bills at Falcons | Falcons -9 | Falcons -7.5 | Falcons -8.5 |
| Giants at Buccaneers | Buccaneers -6 | Buccaneers -3 | Buccaneers -1.5 |
| Eagles at Chargers | Eagles -1 | Chargers -1 | Eagles -1.5 |
| 49ers at Cardinals | Cardinals -7 | Cardinals -7 | Cardinals -5.5 |
| Raiders at Broncos | Broncos -1.5 | Broncos -2.5 | Broncos -2.5 |
| Colts at Seahawks | Seahawks -14.5 | Seahawks -13 | Seahawks -13 |
| Redskins at Chiefs | Chiefs -8.5 | Chiefs -7 | Chiefs -6 |
natejacobson.com 